There is an excess prevalence of hyperhomocysteinemia in dialysis-dependent end-stage renal disease (ESRD) patients. Cross-sectional studies of the relationship between elevated total homocysteine (tHcy) levels and prevalent cardiovascular disease (CVD) in this patient population suffer from severe methodologic limitations. No prospective investigations examining the association between tHcy levels and the subsequent development of arteriosclerotic CVD outcomes among maintenance dialysis patients have been reported. To assess whether elevated plasma tHcy is an independent risk factor for incident CVD in dialysis-dependent ESRD patients, we studied 73 maintenance peritoneal dialysis or hemodialysis patients who received a baseline examination between March and December 1994, with follow-up through April 1, 1996. We determined the incidence of nonfatal and fatal CVD events, which included all validated coronary heart disease, cerebrovascular disease, and abdominal aortic/lower-extremity arterial disease outcomes. After a median follow-up of 17.0 months, 16 individuals experienced at least one arteriosclerotic CVD event. Cox proportional-hazards regression analyses, unadjusted and individually adjusted for creatinine, albumin, and total cholesterol levels, total/HDL cholesterol ratio, dialysis adequacy/residual renal function, baseline CVD, and the established CVD risk factors (ie, age, sex, smoking, hypertension, diabetes/glucose intolerance, and dyslipidemia) revealed that tHcy levels in the upper quartile (> or = 27.0 mumol/L) versus the lower three quartiles (< 27.0 mumol/L) were associated with relative risk estimates (hazards ratios, with 95% confidence intervals for the occurrence of (pooled) nonfatal and fatal CVD ranging from 3.0 to 4.4; 95% confidence intervals (1.1-8.1) to (1.6-12.2). We conclude that the markedly elevated fasting tHcy levels found in dialysis-dependent ESRD patients may contribute independently to their excess incidence of fatal and nonfatal CVD outcomes.