Canadian National Breast Screening Study: first screen results as predictors of future breast cancer risk

Cancer Epidemiol Biomarkers Prev. 1993 Jan-Feb;2(1):11-9.

Abstract

Characteristics of women aged 40-59, recorded at an initial breast screen, were compared with the outcome of incident, invasive breast cancer occurring up to 3 years after the initial screen. The study design was case-control, nested within the study population of the Canadian National Breast Screening Study. Screening consisted of a two-view mammographic examination and physical examination of the breasts; additional risk factor information was obtained from self-administered questionnaires. Of the etiological risk factors considered only age at entry or years menstruating were significant risk factors for breast cancer (P < 0.0025). Years menstruating accounted for much of the age effect and all of the menopausal status effect. Risk factors obtainable from mammography and physical examination were more significant than self-reported risk factors, other than age or years menstruating. In spite of possible misclassification of the variable parenchymal pattern, women with a mammographic film classified as either P2 or DY had a 2-fold risk of breast cancer (odds ratio = 2.1; 95% confidence interval = 1.5-2.9, P = 2.9E-05). An abnormality reported by either the radiologist [odds ratio = 1.7 (1.3-2.3)] or nurse examiner [odds ratio = 1.9 (1.4-2.6)] was also associated with an independent significant risk.

Publication types

  • Clinical Trial
  • Multicenter Study
  • Randomized Controlled Trial
  • Research Support, Non-U.S. Gov't

MeSH terms

  • Adult
  • Age Factors
  • Breast Neoplasms / diagnostic imaging
  • Breast Neoplasms / epidemiology
  • Breast Neoplasms / etiology*
  • Breast Neoplasms / prevention & control*
  • Canada / epidemiology
  • Case-Control Studies
  • Female
  • Humans
  • Logistic Models
  • Mammography
  • Mass Screening*
  • Middle Aged
  • Odds Ratio
  • Predictive Value of Tests
  • ROC Curve
  • Regression Analysis
  • Risk Factors
  • Sensitivity and Specificity