The effect of the COVID-19 pandemic on delirium incidence in Ontario long-term care homes: A retrospective cohort study

PLoS One. 2024 Nov 14;19(11):e0311098. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0311098. eCollection 2024.

Abstract

Objectives: To describe delirium incidence before and during the COVID-19 pandemic and examine factors associated with delirium incidence in the long-term care setting.

Methods: We conducted a retrospective cohort study of Ontario long-term care residents without severe cognitive impairment or baseline delirium with an assessment between February 1, 2019, and March 31, 2021. Data were collected from the interRAI Minimum Data Set (MDS) 2.0. The outcome of interest was delirium development. Selected independent variables were entered into univariate longitudinal generalized estimating equations, followed by multivariate analysis. Odds ratios (ORs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) are reported.

Results: A total of 63,913 residents were included within the comparison sample from February 2019 to February 2020. The pandemic sample consisted of 54,867 residents from March 2020 to March 2021. Incidence of delirium in the comparison sample was 3.4% (2158 residents) compared to 3.2% (1746 residents) in the pandemic sample (P = 0.06). Residents who were older, cognitively impaired, and increasingly frail had greater odds of developing delirium. Increased odds were associated with a diagnosis of bipolar disorder (OR 1.27, 95% CI 1.07-1.51) and anxiolytic use (OR 1.12, 95% CI 1.01-1.25). Residents who were newly admitted (OR 0.65, 95% CI 0.60-0.71) and those dependent for activities of daily living (OR 0.46, 95% CI 0.33-0.64) had lower odds of delirium development.

Conclusions and implications: The incidence of delirium did not differ between the year prior to and the first year of the COVID-19 pandemic, indicating that preventative interventions employed by long-term care homes may have been effective. Long-term care residents who are older, frail, cognitively impaired, or had unstable health would benefit from targeted interventions to prevent delirium. Newly admitted residents or those dependent in activities of daily living had lower odds of developing delirium, which could indicate under detection in these groups.

MeSH terms

  • Aged
  • Aged, 80 and over
  • COVID-19* / epidemiology
  • COVID-19* / psychology
  • Delirium* / epidemiology
  • Female
  • Humans
  • Incidence
  • Long-Term Care*
  • Male
  • Nursing Homes
  • Ontario / epidemiology
  • Pandemics
  • Retrospective Studies
  • Risk Factors
  • SARS-CoV-2 / isolation & purification

Grants and funding

The study is supported by funding from the Government of Canada’s New Frontiers in Research Fund (NFRF; NFRFG-2020-00500) for collaboration in the EU Horizon 2020 research and innovation project Individualized CARE for Older Persons with Complex Chronic Conditions in Home Care and Nursing Homes (I-CARE4OLD, Grant Agreement No 965341). In addition, it received funding through the Canadian Institutes of Health Research (CIHR Reference # GA6-177780). There was no additional external funding received for this study. The funders had no role in study design, data collection and analysis, decision to publish, or preparation of the manuscript.