A Digital Intervention for Capturing the Real-Time Health Data Needed for Epilepsy Seizure Forecasting: Protocol for a Formative Co-Design and Usability Study (The ATMOSPHERE Study)

Abstract

Background: Epilepsy is a chronic neurological disorder affecting individuals globally, marked by recurrent and apparently unpredictable seizures that pose significant challenges, including increased mortality, injuries, and diminished quality of life. Despite advancements in treatments, a significant proportion of people with epilepsy continue to experience uncontrolled seizures. The apparent unpredictability of these events has been identified as a major concern for people with epilepsy, highlighting the need for innovative seizure forecasting technologies.

Objective: The ATMOSPHERE study aimed to develop and evaluate a digital intervention, using wearable technology and data science, that provides real-time, individualized seizure forecasting for individuals living with epilepsy. This paper reports the protocol for one of the workstreams focusing on the design and testing of a prototype to capture real-time input data needed for predictive modeling. The first aim was to collaboratively design the prototype (work completed). The second aim is to conduct an "in-the-wild" study to assess usability and refine the prototype (planned research).

Methods: This study uses a person-based approach to design and test the usability of a prototype for real-time seizure precipitant data capture. Phase 1 (work completed) involved co-design with individuals living with epilepsy and health care professionals. Sessions explored users' requirements for the prototype, followed by iterative design of low-fidelity, static prototypes. Phase 2 (planned research) will be an "in-the-wild" usability study involving the deployment of a mid-fidelity, functional prototype for 4 weeks, with the collection of mixed methods usability data to assess the prototype's real-world application, feasibility, acceptability, and engagement. This phase involves primary participants (adults diagnosed with epilepsy) and, optionally, their nominated significant other. The usability study will run in 3 rounds of deployment and data collection, aiming to recruit 5 participants per round, with prototype refinement between rounds.

Results: The phase-1 co-design study engaged 22 individuals, resulting in the development of a mid-fidelity, functional prototype based on identified requirements, including the tracking of evidence-based and personalized seizure precipitants. The upcoming phase-2 usability study is expected to provide insights into the prototype's real-world usability, identify areas for improvement, and refine the technology for future development. The estimated completion date of phase 2 is the last quarter of 2024.

Conclusions: The ATMOSPHERE study aims to make a significant step forward in epilepsy management, focusing on the development of a user-centered, noninvasive wearable device for seizure forecasting. Through a collaborative design process and comprehensive usability testing, this research aims to address the critical need for predictive seizure forecasting technologies, offering a promising approach to improving the lives of individuals with epilepsy. By leveraging predictive analytics and personalized machine learning models, this technology seeks to offer a novel approach to managing epilepsy, potentially improving clinical outcomes, including quality of life, through increased predictability and seizure management.

International registered report identifier (irrid): DERR1-10.2196/60129.

Keywords: artificial intelligence; data science; epilepsy; machine learning; mobile phone; seizure forecasting; wearable technology.