Improved diagnosis of arrhythmogenic right ventricular cardiomyopathy using electrocardiographic deep learning

Abstract

Background: Arrhythmogenic right ventricular cardiomyopathy (ARVC) is a rare genetic heart disease associated with life-threatening ventricular arrhythmias. Diagnosis of ARVC is based on the 2010 Task Force Criteria (TFC), application of which often requires clinical expertise at specialized centers.

Objective: The purpose of this study was to develop and validate an electrocardiogram (ECG) deep learning (DL) tool for ARVC diagnosis.

Methods: ECGs of patients referred for ARVC evaluation were used to develop (n = 551 [80.1%]) and test (n = 137 [19.9%]) an ECG-DL model for prediction of TFC-defined ARVC diagnosis. The ARVC ECG-DL model was externally validated in a cohort of patients with pathogenic or likely pathogenic (P/LP) ARVC gene variants identified through the Geisinger MyCode Community Health Initiative (N = 167).

Results: Of 688 patients evaluated at Johns Hopkins Hospital (JHH) (57.3% male, mean age 40.2 years), 329 (47.8%) were diagnosed with ARVC. Although ARVC diagnosis made by referring cardiologist ECG interpretation was unreliable (c-statistic 0.53; confidence interval [CI] 0.52-0.53), ECG-DL discrimination in the hold-out testing cohort was excellent (0.87; 0.86-0.89) and compared favorably to that of ECG interpretation by an ARVC expert (0.85; 0.84-0.86). In the Geisinger cohort, prevalence of ARVC was lower (n = 17 [10.2%]), but ECG-DL-based identification of ARVC phenotype remained reliable (0.80; 0.77-0.83). Discrimination was further increased when ECG-DL predictions were combined with non-ECG-derived TFC in the JHH testing (c-statistic 0.940; 95% CI 0.933-0.948) and Geisinger validation (0.897; 95% CI 0.883-0.912) cohorts.

Conclusion: ECG-DL augments diagnosis of ARVC to the level of an ARVC expert and can differentiate true ARVC diagnosis from phenotype-mimics and at-risk family members/genotype-positive individuals.

Keywords: Arrhythmogenic right ventricular cardiomyopathy; Artificial intelligence; Deep learning; Electrocardiography; Variational autoencoder.