Performances of preoperative CT scan to predict the pTN stage for MSI/dMMR localized colon cancers

Abstract

Background: Neoadjuvant immunotherapy emerges as a promising strategy for patients with localized colon cancer (CC) harboring microsatellite instability/mismatch repair deficiency (MSI/dMMR). The aim of this study is to evaluate the concordance between clinical cTN stage assessed by preoperative computed tomography (CT) scan and pTN stage of MSI/dMMR CC.

Patients and methods: Consecutive patients diagnosed for localized MSI/dMMR CC and treated with upfront surgery between 2013 and 2022 in two French centers were eligible. Two independent radiologists, blinded to pathological findings, reviewed all preoperative CT scans and assessed cTN stage, with a third radiologist reviewing discordant cases. Radiological predictive diagnostic accuracy for pT4 and pN+ (N+ = N1 or N2) were calculated.

Results: One hundred and thirteen patients were included (right CCs = 79%). CT scan diagnostic performances for pT4 were sensitivity (Se) = 33.3%; specificity (Sp) = 94.0%; positive predictive value (PPV) = 66.7%; and negative predictive value (NPV) = 79.6% and for pN+ were Se = 70.3%; Sp = 59.2%; PPV = 45.6%; and NPV = 80.4%. When pT-pN were combined, 37.5% of tumors identified as cT4 and/or cN+ were actually pT1-3 and pN0, and 23.1% of the pT4 and pN+ population was not identified as such radiologically.

Conclusion: The ability of preoperative CT scan to predict pT and pN stages is limited for localized MSI/dMMR CCs. Reassessing neoadjuvant strategies' benefit-risk balance in this population is needed.

Keywords: MSI/dMMR; colon cancer; immune checkpoint inhibitor; neoadjuvant therapy; preoperative staging.