Accurate prediction of scoliotic curve progression is crucial for guiding treatment decisions in adolescent idiopathic scoliosis (AIS). Traditional methods of assessing the likelihood of AIS progression are limited by variability and rely on static measurements. This study developed and validated machine learning models for classifying progressive and non-progressive scoliotic curves based on gait analysis using wearable inertial sensors. Gait data from 38 AIS patients were collected using seven inertial measurement unit (IMU) sensors, and hip-knee (HK) cyclograms representing inter-joint coordination were generated. Various machine learning algorithms, including support vector machine (SVM), random forest (RF), and novel deep convolutional neural network (DCNN) models utilizing multi-plane HK cyclograms, were developed and evaluated using 10-fold cross-validation. The DCNN model incorporating multi-plane HK cyclograms and clinical factors achieved an accuracy of 92% in predicting curve progression, outperforming SVM (55% accuracy) and RF (52% accuracy) models using handcrafted gait features. Gradient-based class activation mapping revealed that the DCNN model focused on the swing phase of the gait cycle to make predictions. This study demonstrates the potential of deep learning techniques, and DCNNs in particular, in accurately classifying scoliotic curve progression using gait data from wearable IMU sensors.
Keywords: adolescent idiopathic scoliosis; curve progression; deep convolutional neural network; gait analysis; hip–knee cyclogram; machine learning.