Prognostic value of human papillomavirus cell-free DNA in cervical cancer patients: A systematic review and meta-analysis

Abstract

Objective: This meta-analysis aimed to investigate the association between circulating human papillomavirus (HPV) cell-free DNA and oncological outcomes of cervical cancer patients.

Methods: Searches were performed in MEDLINE, Embase, and CENTRAL from their inception until 26 November 2023. Inclusion criteria were: (1) pathologically confirmed cervical cancer with available HPV test results; (2) detection of HPV cell-free DNA was performed in serum/plasma before or at end of treatment; (3) studies reported oncological outcomes of cervical cancer patients according to the levels of HPV cell-free DNA. Data extraction and study quality assessment were performed independently by two authors. Pooled hazard ratios and 95% confidence intervals were calculated using the inverse-variance method for survival outcomes.

Results: Five studies were finally included in this meta-analysis. Blood samples were collected from 167 patients before treatment, with 150 individuals available for analysis at the end of treatment. Furthermore, 82 patients with available samples at 3 months post-treatment were included in the analysis. The pooled results indicated a significant association between positive HPV cell-free DNA at end of treatment and worse progression-free survival in patients with cervical cancer (pooled hazard ratio: 5.49; 95 % confidence interval: 2.85-10.58; I²: 0 %). Similar findings were observed in patients with detectable HPV cell-free DNA at 3 months post-treatment (pooled hazard ratio: 7.86; 95 % confidence interval: 3.32-18.60; I²: 0 %). However, the detection of HPV cell-free DNA before treatment was not significantly associated with progression-free survival (pooled hazard ratio: 0.97; 95 % confidence interval: 0.55-1.71; I²: 0 %).

Conclusion: Cervical cancer patients testing positive for HPV cell-free DNA at the end of treatment or 3 months post-treatment displayed significantly poorer oncological outcomes compared to those testing negative. Thus, personalized monitoring of HPV cell-free DNA holds promise as a prognostic biomarker for patients with cervical cancer.

Keywords: Cell-free DNA; Cervical cancer; HPV; Meta-analysis; Survival.