Serological Evidence of Mpox Virus Infection During Peak Mpox Transmission in New York City, July to August 2022

J Infect Dis. 2024 Nov 15;230(5):1102-1109. doi: 10.1093/infdis/jiae181.

Abstract

Background: The extent to which infections may have been undetected in an epicenter of the 2022 mpox outbreak is unknown.

Methods: A serosurvey (July and August 2022) assessed the seroprevalence and correlates of mpox infection among a diverse sample of asymptomatic patients with no prior mpox diagnoses and no known histories of smallpox or mpox vaccination. We present seropositivity stratified by participant characteristics collected via survey.

Results: Two-thirds of 419 participants were cismen (281 of 419), of whom 59.1% (166 of 281) reported sex with men (MSM). The sample also included 109 ciswomen and 28 transgender/gender nonconforming/nonbinary individuals. Overall seroprevalence was 6.4% (95% confidence interval [CI], 4.1%-8.8%); 3.7% among ciswomen (95% CI, 1.0%-9.1%), 7.0% among cismen with only ciswomen partners (95% CI, 2.0%-11.9%), and 7.8% among MSM (95% CI, 3.7%-11.9%). There was little variation in seroprevalence by race/ethnicity, age group, HIV status, or number of recent sex partners. No participants who reported close contact with mpox cases were seropositive. Among participants without recent mpox-like symptoms, 6.3% were seropositive (95% CI, 3.6%-9.0%).

Conclusions: Approximately 1 in 15 vaccine-naive people in our study had antibodies to mpox during the height of the NYC outbreak, indicating the presence of asymptomatic infections that could contribute to ongoing transmission.

Keywords: asymptomatic infections; mpox; outbreak; serosurvey; subclinical infections.

MeSH terms

  • Adolescent
  • Adult
  • Aged
  • Antibodies, Viral / blood
  • Disease Outbreaks*
  • Female
  • Humans
  • Male
  • Middle Aged
  • Monkeypox virus / immunology
  • Mpox (monkeypox)* / epidemiology
  • Mpox (monkeypox)* / transmission
  • New York City / epidemiology
  • Seroepidemiologic Studies
  • Transgender Persons
  • Young Adult

Substances

  • Antibodies, Viral