Uncertainties in source allocation of carbonaceous aerosols in a Mediterranean region

Abstract

Understanding the atmospheric processes involving carbonaceous aerosols (CAs) is crucial for assessing air pollution impacts on human health and climate. The sources and formation mechanisms of CAs are not well understood, making it challenging to quantify impacts in models. Studies suggest residential wood combustion (RWC) and traffic significantly contribute to CAs in Europe's urban and rural areas. Here, we used an atmospheric chemistry model (MONARCH) and three different emission inventories (two versions of the European-scale emission inventory CAMS-REG_v4 and the HERMESv3 detailed national inventory for Spain) to assess the uncertainties in CAs simulation and source allocation (from traffic, RWC, shipping, fires and others) in Northeast Spain. For this, black carbon (BC) and organic aerosol (OA) measurements performed at three supersites representing different environments (urban, regional and remote) were used. Our findings show the importance of model resolution and detailed emission input data in accurately reproducing BC/OA observations. Even though emissions of total particulate matter are rather consistent between inventories in Spain, we found discrepancies between them mainly related to the spatiotemporal disaggregation (particularly relevant for traffic and RWC) and the treatment of the condensable fraction of CAs in RWC (changes in the speciation of elemental/organic carbon). The main source contribution to BC concentrations in the urban site is traffic, accounting for 71.1%/65.2% (January/July) in close agreement with the fossil contribution derived from observations (78.8%/84.2%), followed by RWC (12.8%/3%) and shipping emissions (5.4%/13.8%). An over-representation of RWC (winter) and shipping (summer) is obtained with CAMS-REG_v4. Noteworthy uncertainties arise in OA results due to condensables in emissions and a limited secondary aerosol production in the model. These findings offer insights into MONARCH's effectiveness in simulating CAs concentrations and source contribution in Northeast Spain. The study highlights the benefits of combining new datasets and modeling techniques to refine emission inventories and better understand and mitigate air pollution impacts.