Multilevel Count Regression Analysis of Factors Associated with the Desired Number of Antenatal Care Service Visits in Ethiopia

Abstract

Background: Visiting the desired number of antenatal care services improve the success of maternal health programs in terms of mother and child health. The study aimed to identify the factors associated with differences in the number of antenatal care service visits across and within regions of Ethiopia by using the 2019 Ethiopian Mini Demographic Health Survey (EMDHS).

Methods: A total of 3979 women who were pregnant or gave birth within 5 years preceding the survey from the 2019 Ethiopian Mini Demographic Health Survey were included in the analysis. A multi-level Hurdle negative binomial regression model was selected to consider the hierarchical nature of the data in determining the factors associated with the barriers to the desired number of antenatal care service visits.

Results: About one-fourth (26.2%) of mothers did not visit any antenatal care, and only 137 (3.4%) women visited the service eight times and above. The random intercept with the fixed coefficient of multilevel Hurdle negative binomial model results has shown that women in the age group between 25 and 34 (AOR = 1.057), in the age group between 35 and 49 (AOR = 1.108), protestant religion follower women (AOR = 0.918), Muslim women (AOR = 0.945), other religion follower women (AOR = 0.768), mothers in primary educational level (AOR = 1.123), secondary and higher education level (AOR = 1.228), rich mothers (AOR = 1.134), and mothers living in rural (AOR = 0.789) were statistically associated with regional variation regarding the frequency of ANC service visits.

Conclusions: The majority of pregnant women did not visit antenatal care services according to the findings of this study. This study's results revealed that the predictor variables such as mother's age, education level, religion, place of residence, marital status, and wealth index were significant, and the findings revealed that there were regional differences in ANC visits in Ethiopia. Women's economic and educational interventions should be a top priority.

Keywords: ANC; Count; Excess zero; Hurdle negative binomial; Multilevel.