Radiomics and Dosiomics Signature From Whole Lung Predicts Radiation Pneumonitis: A Model Development Study With Prospective External Validation and Decision-curve Analysis

Abstract

Purpose: Radiation pneumonitis (RP) is one of the common side effects of radiation therapy in the thoracic region. Radiomics and dosiomics quantify information implicit within medical images and radiation therapy dose distributions. In this study we demonstrate the prognostic potential of radiomics, dosiomics, and clinical features for RP prediction.

Methods and materials: Radiomics, dosiomics, dose-volume histogram (DVH) metrics, and clinical parameters were obtained on 314 retrospectively collected and 35 prospectively enrolled patients diagnosed with lung cancer between 2013 to 2019. A radiomics risk score (R score) and dosiomics risk score (D score), as well as a DVH-score, were calculated based on logistic regression after feature selection. Six models were built using different combinations of R score, D score, DVH score, and clinical parameters to evaluate their added prognostic power. Overoptimism was evaluated by bootstrap resampling from the training set, and the prospectively collected cohort was used as the external test set. Model calibration and decision-curve characteristics of the best-performing models were evaluated. For ease of further evaluation, nomograms were constructed for selected models.

Results: A model built by integrating all of the R score, D score, and clinical parameters had the best discriminative ability with areas under the curve of 0.793 (95% confidence interval [CI], 0.735-0.851), 0.774 (95% CI, 0.762-0.786), and 0.855 (95% CI, 0.719-0.990) in the training, bootstrapping, and external test sets, respectively. The calibration curve image showed good agreement between the predicted and actual values, with a slope of 1.21 and intercept of -0.04. The decision curve image showed a positive net benefit for the final model based on the nomogram.

Conclusions: Radiomic and dosiomic features have the potential to assist with the prediction of RP, and the combination of radiomics, dosiomics, and clinical parameters led to the best prognostic model in the present study.