Performance of existing and novel surveillance case definitions for COVID-19 in household contacts of PCR-confirmed COVID-19

BMC Public Health. 2021 Sep 25;21(1):1747. doi: 10.1186/s12889-021-11683-y.

Abstract

Background: Optimized symptom-based COVID-19 case definitions that guide public health surveillance and individual patient management in the community may assist pandemic control.

Methods: We assessed diagnostic performance of existing cases definitions (e.g. influenza-like illness, COVID-like illness) using symptoms reported from 185 household contacts to a PCR-confirmed case of COVID-19 in Wisconsin and Utah, United States. We stratified analyses between adults and children. We also constructed novel case definitions for comparison.

Results: Existing COVID-19 case definitions generally showed high sensitivity (86-96%) but low positive predictive value (PPV) (36-49%; F-1 score 52-63) in this community cohort. Top performing novel symptom combinations included taste or smell dysfunction and improved the balance of sensitivity and PPV (F-1 score 78-80). Performance indicators were generally lower for children (< 18 years of age).

Conclusions: Existing COVID-19 case definitions appropriately screened in household contacts with COVID-19. Novel symptom combinations incorporating taste or smell dysfunction as a primary component improved accuracy. Case definitions tailored for children versus adults should be further explored.

Keywords: Adults; COVID-19; Children; Diagnostic accuracy; Predictive values; SARS-CoV-2; Sensitivity; Specificity; Surveillance; Symptoms; Syndromic.

Publication types

  • Research Support, U.S. Gov't, P.H.S.

MeSH terms

  • Adult
  • COVID-19*
  • Child
  • Cohort Studies
  • Humans
  • Pandemics
  • Polymerase Chain Reaction
  • SARS-CoV-2