The Pebble Remains in the Master's Hand: Two Careers Spent Learning (Still) from John Evans

Risk Anal. 2021 Apr;41(4):678-693. doi: 10.1111/risa.13649. Epub 2020 Dec 15.

Abstract

In this article, we discuss four vexing problems in risk-based decision making that John Evans has addressed over the last nearly 40 years and has perennially challenged the two of us and others to think about. We tackle the role in decision making of potential thresholds in dose-response functions, how the lack of health reference values for many chemicals may distort risk management, the challenge of model uncertainty for risk characterization, and the yet-untapped potential for value-of-information analysis to enhance public health decision making. Our theme is that work remains to be done on each of these, but that some of that work would merely involve listening to ideas that John has already offered.

Keywords: Decision making; risk management; uncertainty analysis; value-of-information.

MeSH terms

  • Animals
  • Decision Making
  • Environmental Exposure / prevention & control
  • Environmental Health
  • Humans
  • Occupational Exposure / prevention & control
  • Occupational Health
  • Public Health
  • Reference Values
  • Risk Assessment / methods*
  • Risk Management / methods*
  • United States
  • United States Environmental Protection Agency