Background: A simple method to assess renal function is the estimated glomerular filtration rate, and it shows prognostic implications. However, it remains unknown which equation should be used in patients with acute coronary syndrome. We compared the ability and correlation of the Cockcroft-Gault, Modification of Diet in Renal Disease-4 (MDRD-4), and Chronic Kidney Disease Epidemiology Collaboration (CKD-EPI) equations and their predictive performance for major adverse cardiovascular events, all-cause mortality, and major bleeding in a cohort of patients with acute coronary syndrome.
Methods and results: Multicenter prospective registry involving 1699 consecutive patients with acute coronary syndrome from 3 tertiary institutions. At entry, renal function was assessed using the Cockcroft-Gault, MDRD-4, and CKD-EPI-creatinine equations. During 12 months of follow-up, we recorded all major adverse cardiovascular events (composite of cardiovascular death, nonfatal myocardial infarction, and nonfatal ischemic stroke), bleeding events (Bleeding Academic Research Consortium classification), and all-cause mortality. Receiver operating characteristic curve comparisons demonstrated that Cockcroft-Gault equation had higher predictive ability compared with MDRD-4 equation for major adverse cardiovascular events (0.651 versus 0.616; P=0.023), major bleeding (0.600 versus 0.551; P=0.005), and all-cause mortality (0.754 versus 0.717; P=0.033), as well as higher predictive ability compared with CKD-EPI equation for major bleeding (0.600 versus 0.564; P=0.018). Integrated discrimination improvement and net reclassification improvement analyses showed superior discrimination and reclassification of Cockcroft-Gault equation. Decision curve analyses graphically demonstrated higher net benefit and clinical usefulness of the Cockcroft-Gault equation in comparison with MDRD-4 and CKD-EPI equations.
Conclusions: In patients with acute coronary syndrome, the Cockcroft-Gault equation presented superior predictive ability for major adverse cardiovascular events, major bleeding, and all-cause mortality compared with MDRD-4 equation, and superior predictive ability for major bleeding compared with CKD-EPI equation. The Cockcroft-Gault equation also showed higher net benefit and clinical usefulness.
Keywords: acute coronary syndrome; glomerular filtration rate equations; hemorrhage; ischemia; renal function; risk stratification.
© 2018 The Authors. Published on behalf of the American Heart Association, Inc., by Wiley.