Small molecules targeting the EGFR tyrosine kinase domain have been used with some success at treating patients with non-small cell lung cancer driven by activating mutations in the kinase domain. The initial class of inhibitors displaced ATP noncovalently but were rendered ineffective due to the development of resistance mutations in the kinase domain. These were overcome by the development of covalent inhibitors such as afatinib which also bind in the ATP pocket. However pooled analysis of two recent clinical trials LUX-3 and LUX-6 demonstrated an unprecedented overall survival benefit of afatinib over chemotherapy for the EGFR 19del , but not the EGFR L858R . In the current study we use modelling and simulations to show that structural constraints in EGFR 19del deletion result in significantly attenuated flexibilities in the binding pocket resulting in strong hydrogen and halogen bonds with afatinib in the EGFR 19del ; these constraints are modulated by buried water and result in the differential affinities of afatinib for the different mutants. SNP analysis of residues surrounding the buried water points to the likelihood of further differential effects of afatinib and provides a compelling case for investigating the effects of the SNPs towards further stratification of patients for ensuring the most effective use of afatinib.