Controlling imported malaria cases in the United States of America

Math Biosci Eng. 2017 Feb 1;14(1):95-109. doi: 10.3934/mbe.2017007.

Abstract

We extend the mathematical malaria epidemic model framework of Dembele et al. and use it to ``capture" the 2013 Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) reported data on the 2011 number of imported malaria cases in the USA. Furthermore, we use our ``fitted" malaria models for the top 20 countries of malaria acquisition by USA residents to study the impact of protecting USA residents from malaria infection when they travel to malaria endemic areas, the impact of protecting residents of malaria endemic regions from mosquito bites and the impact of killing mosquitoes in those endemic areas on the CDC number of imported malaria cases in USA. To significantly reduce the number of imported malaria cases in USA, for each top 20 country of malaria acquisition by USA travelers, we compute the optimal proportion of USA international travelers that must be protected against malaria infection and the optimal proportion of mosquitoes that must be killed.

MeSH terms

  • Humans
  • Malaria / epidemiology*
  • Malaria / prevention & control*
  • Models, Biological*
  • Mosquito Control / statistics & numerical data
  • Population Surveillance
  • Travel* / statistics & numerical data
  • United States / epidemiology