The Will Rogers phenomenon in the staging of breast cancer - does it matter?

Cancer Epidemiol. 2015 Feb;39(1):115-7. doi: 10.1016/j.canep.2014.11.005. Epub 2014 Dec 2.

Abstract

Introduction: Changes in the American Joint Commission on Cancer staging for breast cancer occurred when the 5th Edition was updated to the 6th Edition.

Objective: To investigate how these changes affected stage and survival.

Methods: 3127 cases of breast cancer were restaged.

Results: Late stages increased from 27.7% to 38.1%. The five-year survival improved in Stage 2 (82.9-86.1%) and Stage 3 (50.6-59%).

Discussion: Stage shift leads to an erroneous impression that women are presenting with later stages and stage-specific survival is improving.

Conclusion: Standardizing cancer staging is important when reporting stage and survival in different time periods.

Keywords: American Joint Commission on Cancer; Breast cancer; Stage shift; Stage-specific survival; Staging; Will Rogers phenomenon.

Publication types

  • Research Support, Non-U.S. Gov't

MeSH terms

  • Breast Neoplasms / pathology*
  • Databases, Factual
  • Female
  • Humans
  • Neoplasm Staging*
  • Survival Rate