Purpose: Currently, nasopharyngeal carcinoma (NPC) prognosis evaluation is based primarily on the TNM staging system. This study aims to identify prognostic markers for NPC.
Patients and methods: We detected expression of 18 biomarkers by immunohistochemistry in NPC tumors from 209 patients and evaluated the association between gene expression level and disease-specific survival (DSS). We used support vector machine (SVM)--based methods to develop a prognostic classifier for NPC (NPC-SVM classifier). Further validation of the NPC-SVM classifier was performed in an independent cohort of 1,059 patients.
Results: The NPC-SVM classifier integrated patient sex and the protein expression level of seven genes, including Epstein-Barr virus latency membrane protein 1, CD147, caveolin-1, phospho-P70S6 kinase, matrix metalloproteinase 11, survivin, and secreted protein acidic and rich in cysteine. The NPC-SVM classifier distinguished patients with NPC into low- and high-risk groups with significant differences in 5-year DSS in the evaluated patients (87% v 37.7%; P < .001) in the validation cohort. In multivariate analysis adjusted for age, TNM stage, and histologic subtype, the NPC-SVM classifier was an independent predictor of 5-year DSS in the evaluated patients (hazard ratio, 4.9; 95% CI, 3.0 to 7.9) in the validation cohort.
Conclusion: As a powerful predictor of 5-year DSS among patients with NPC, the newly developed NPC-SVM classifier based on tumor-associated biomarkers will facilitate patient counseling and individualize management of patients with NPC.