A simple predictive model for postoperative mortality after head and neck cancer surgery with opening of mucosa

Oral Oncol. 2007 Feb;43(2):174-80. doi: 10.1016/j.oraloncology.2006.02.003. Epub 2006 Jul 21.

Abstract

The aim of this study was to determine the risk factors for the mortality during the first 30 days after a major head and neck cancer surgery. Two hundred and sixty one consecutive surgical procedure were prospectively studied at Oscar Lambret Cancer Centre within a 36-months period. Twenty variables were recorded for each patient. The significant risk factors for postoperative mortality were assessed by univariate and multivariate analysis. Overall 30-days mortality rate was 3.83% [95% CI 3.13-4.53]. In univariate analysis identified four risk factors: female gender (odd ratio 4.25 [95% CI 1.03-17.56]), age equal or superior than 70 (odd ratio 5.06 [95% CI 1.35-18.36]), current alcohol addiction (odd ratio 3.65 [1.02-13.06]) and laryngeal location (odd ratio 4.23 [CI 95% 1.18-3.38]). In multivariate analysis only female gender and laryngeal location remained significant. The incidence of postoperative mortality was 1.63% for patients without risk factor and was 6.41% for those with one or two risk factors. This model identifies easily high-risk patients for major head and neck cancer surgery. A multicenter validation is necessary.

MeSH terms

  • Adult
  • Age Factors
  • Aged
  • Aged, 80 and over
  • Alcoholism / complications
  • Carcinoma, Squamous Cell / etiology
  • Carcinoma, Squamous Cell / pathology
  • Carcinoma, Squamous Cell / surgery*
  • Epidemiologic Methods
  • Female
  • Head and Neck Neoplasms / etiology
  • Head and Neck Neoplasms / pathology
  • Head and Neck Neoplasms / surgery*
  • Humans
  • Laryngeal Neoplasms / surgery
  • Male
  • Middle Aged
  • Neoplasm Staging
  • Prognosis
  • Sex Factors
  • Smoking / adverse effects
  • Treatment Outcome