Risk assessment of dietary exposure to pesticides using a Bayesian method

Pest Manag Sci. 2005 Aug;61(8):759-66. doi: 10.1002/ps.1060.

Abstract

Risk assessment of pesticides can be a statistically difficult problem because pesticides occur only occasionally, but they may occur on multiple components in the diet. A Bayesian statistical model is presented which incorporates multivariate modelling of food consumption and modelling of pesticide measurements which are for a large part below a measurement threshold. It is shown that Bayesian modelling is feasible for a limited number of food components, and that in a data-rich situation the model compares well with an empirical Monte Carlo modelling.

MeSH terms

  • Bayes Theorem
  • Food Contamination*
  • Humans
  • Models, Biological
  • Monte Carlo Method
  • Pesticide Residues / toxicity*
  • Risk Assessment

Substances

  • Pesticide Residues