Objectives: The objective of this prospective study was to determine whether sociological and/or alcohol-related behavioral factors could be predictive of relapse after orthotopic liver transplantation for alcoholic liver disease.
Methods: Fifty-five liver-transplanted patients out of a series of 120 alcoholic cirrhotic patients were enrolled in a randomized prospective study. This study was initially designed to compare the 2 year survival in intent-to-transplant patients versus in-intent-to-use conventional treatment patients. For all patients, an identical questionnaire was completed at inclusion, and every 3 months for 5 years to collect data on alcohol-related behavior factors.
Results: Fifty-one patients fulfilled the criteria for the study. The mean follow-up was 35.7 months (range: 1-86). Rate of alcohol relapse was 11% at one year and 30% at 2 years. Alcohol intake above 140 g a week was declared by 11% and 22% of patients at one and 2 years, respectively. The only variable leading to a significantly lower rate of relapse was abstinence for 6 months or more before liver transplantation (23% vs 79%, P=0.0003). This variable was also significant for patients whose alcohol intake was greater than 140 g per week (P=0.003) (adjusted relative risk=5.5; 95%CI=1.3-24.5; P=0.02). Multivariate analysis (Cox model) showed that abstinence for 6 months or more before liver transplantation was the unique predictive variable.
Conclusion: In this prospective study of 51 patients transplanted for alcoholic liver disease, abstinence before liver transplantation was the only predictive factor of alcohol relapse after liver transplantation.