Prognostic role of serum CA15.3 in 362 node-negative breast cancers. An old player for a new game

Eur J Cancer. 2002 Jun;38(9):1181-8. doi: 10.1016/s0959-8049(01)00426-9.

Abstract

The aims of the present investigation were to evaluate the association between serum CA15.3 levels and other biological and clinical variables and its prognostic role in patients with node-negative breast cancer. We evaluated 362 patients operated upon primary breast cancer from 1982 to 1992 (median follow-up 69 months). Serum CA15.3 was measured by an immunoradiometric assay. The association between variables was investigated by a Principal Component Analysis (PCA) and the prognostic role of CA15.3 on relapse-free survival (RFS) was investigated by Cox regression models adjusting for age, oestrogen receptor (ER), tumour stage, and ER x age interaction, with both the likelihood ratio test and Harrell's c statistic. The prognostic contribution of CA 15.3 was highly significant. Log relative hazard of relapse was constant until approximately 10 (U/ml) of CA15.3 and increased thereafter with increasing marker levels. CA15.3 showed a significant contribution using as a cut-off point a value of 31 U/ml. However, the contribution to the model of the marker as a continuous variable is much greater. From these findings, we can conclude that: (i) CA15.3 is a prognostic marker in node-negative breast cancer; (ii) its relationship with prognosis is continuous, with the risk of relapse increasing progressively from approximately 10 U/ml.

Publication types

  • Research Support, Non-U.S. Gov't

MeSH terms

  • Aged
  • Breast Neoplasms / blood*
  • Breast Neoplasms / pathology
  • Breast Neoplasms / surgery
  • Disease-Free Survival
  • Female
  • Humans
  • Mastectomy / methods
  • Middle Aged
  • Mucin-1 / blood*
  • Neoplasm Staging / methods
  • Prognosis
  • Receptors, Estrogen / analysis
  • Regression Analysis
  • Sensitivity and Specificity

Substances

  • Mucin-1
  • Receptors, Estrogen